Kazakhstan Focuses On Water Saving To Ease Tensions With China

By Dr. Xie Lei, Prof. Shaofeng Jia 18 September, 2018

Dr. Xie & Prof. Jia share their insights on the conflict over Ili River & why it fuels water politics across the region

China & Kazakhstan have a history of conflict over shared water resources; exploiting Ili River basin close to the safe extraction limit of 40%
By restructuring its water management schemes, Kazakhstan has shown enhanced autonomy in securing water availability & is reducing political tensions with China
Kazakhstan’s experience shows that industrialising countries can adopt a different path to the West when faced with water scarcity & that much can be achieved with tech & policy improvements

The article was originally published on Thethirdpole.net on 7th February 2018 and has also appeared in Chinadialogue.

For countries that share great rivers, reaching a satisfactory agreement on water allocation and quality control has always posed a political challenge, including in Asia. In recent history, disagreements have even led to violence or military action.

Kazakhstan and China, which share the Ili and Irtysh rivers, also face the challenge of reaching an agreement on water use. New research by the Chinese Academy of Sciences indicates that the water of the Ili River basin is being exploited at a rapid rate: 36.2% and 42.7% for China and Kazakhstan, respectively, with water use from the river predicted to grow substantially. This is compared to the world recognised safe extraction limit of 40%.

China & Kazakhstan exploit Ili River basin at a rapid rate of 36.2% & 42.7% respectively…

…China accounts for ~18% of Kazakhstan’s total water availability. The Ili River starts in China before flowing into Kazakhstan

China accounts for the highest proportion of water flowing from abroad into Kazakhstan, equal to about 18% of the country’s total water availability. The Ili River starts in China before flowing into Kazakhstan.

Access rights

Both countries are in competition over the river’s resources but China has a far larger share. Around 15.7bn m³ low within its borders per year, almost double that which flows through Kazakhstan (8.4bn m³). Hence, both countries have found it difficult to determine how to fairly divide the river between them.

“China believes it is entitled to use the river water that flows within its borders”

China believes it is entitled to use the river water that flows within its borders. It believes this is fair, especially as Kazakhstan largely exploited the river in the late 1960s with the creation of the Kapchagay Reservoir.

Like many industrialising countries, agriculture is the sector that uses most water in Kazakhstan, accounting for 89% of total water withdrawal. In western and central Europe it accounts for 58%.

Kazakhstan has ambitious goals to increase its share of energy generated from renewable sources; from 3% of total energy generation by 2020 to 30% by 2030. It plans to achieve this using hydropower and has planned to build several hydro projects in the next three years. They will be developed in Zhambyl, a region in northern Kazakhstan and the location of Balkhash Lake, one of the largest lakes in Asia. Developing hydropower poses additional challenges to managing the limited water supply in the region.

Kazakhstan has ambitious goals to increase its share of energy generated from renewable sources; from 3% of total energy generation by 2020 to 30% by 2030

Action plan

In this context, Kazakhstan’s politicians have proactively tackled water scarcity by shifting their policy focus. By working closely with international donors, Kazakhstan is attempting to reform its water management, emphasising links between large water users in different sectors.

Kazakhstan is trying to restructure its water management schemes… focused on raising water efficiency

It has adopted a “Green Economy” agenda, a new economic policy that is based on the sustainable use of natural resources. By applying policy tools such as “food-energy-climate nexus analysis“, a mainstream tool developed in western Europe, Kazakhstan is trying to restructure its water management schemes. The focus appears to be on raising water efficiency.

Kazakhstan Foreign Policy Concept (2014) states that the government will: “Continue to improve the legal framework with neighbouring countries on the usage and protection of transboundary water resources to enhance water security… [but] its policy focus is water saving”.

At parliamentary hearings, officials have stated that “drinking water is one of the main questions at the state level”.

Apart from providing substantial state subsidies to water and agriculture sectors, Kazakhstan’s Green Economy programme has been facilitated by technical support from international donors, including the Asian Development Bank, World Bank, United Nations (UN) organisations such as UNEP, UNECE, and the Regional Environment Centre for Central Asia.

From 2010 to 2013 UNEP provided approximately US$1.5 billion to Kazakhstan for water management. The European Union (EU) has also been working with Kazakhstan by sharing its experience and policies. It is hoped that advanced extraction technology will be introduced to facilitate efficient use of water resources.

With its new policy tools, Kazakhstan can reduce its overseas water demand by 4.5bn m³ per year by 2030

With the new water management programme, Kazakhstan has shown enhanced autonomy in securing water availability. According to the Kazakhstan government’s estimation, it can save as much as 9.1bn m³ per year by 2030 from agriculture, industry, and municipal water use.

This significant step will make the country less dependent on water from its neighbours, including China, Russia, Uzbekistan, and Kyrgyzstan. With its new policy tools, Kazakhstan can reduce its overseas water demand by 4.5bn m³ per year by 2030.

Transboundary tensions

Another incentive behind the push for water autonomy may be to reduce political tensions with China.

Another incentive behind the push for water autonomy may be to reduce political tensions with China

Since Kazakhstan hopes to benefit from China’s Belt and Road (BRI) strategy, it has shown a commitment to maintaining a strategic partnership with China. For a country that is highly reliant on exports, such as oil and natural gas, Kazakhstan wants to guarantee continued exports as well as expand its transport networks to Europe and other central Asian countries.

Unlike in western Europe, industrialising countries have adopted a different path when faced with water scarcity

Kazakhstan and China’s water sharing experience shows how countries can adopt different approaches when faced with water scarcity. Unlike in western Europe, where countries reached formal river-basin management agreements after decades of negotiation, such as in the case of the Rhine River, industrialising countries have adopted a different path.

Kazakhstan’s experience also shows that much can be achieved by adopting technological measures and policy improvements.

The governance of transboundary rivers Ili & Irtysh calls for better collaboration between China & Kazakhstan over issues

Nevertheless, the governance of transboundary rivers Ili and Irtysh calls for better collaboration between China and Kazakhstan over issues such as the protection of the Balkash Lake. There are concerns about the diminishing size of Lake Balkhash and desertification. The lake is a key source of drinking and irrigation water as well as an important fish habitat and ecosystem that relies on the Ili’s waters. Another related issue is how to best to control environmental risks arising from the BRI, which aims to link Europe and Asia by constructing inter-state railways and other infrastructure and trade networks.

China and central Asian countries now face the difficult task of reducing the negative ecological effects that such large-scale projects may bring.

Further Reading

  • New Report: Does Asia Have Enough Water To Develop? – Since our economy runs on water, no water means no growth but there is little conversation on this topic in Asia. To catalyse such conversations, this report provides an overview of the water-nomic challenges facing Asia
  • India’s Thermal Power Plants Threatened By Water Shortages – Water shortages are negatively impacting India’s ability to produce power. World Resources Institute’s Tianyi Luo updates us on water stress exposure, risks & opportunities for India’s power sector
  • Can Nepali Coffee Survive The Impacts Of Climate Change? – Coffee growers in Nepal’s hills are facing a double whammy; climate change and pests, which are also interlinked. Abhyaya Raj Joshi expands on the impacts so far & challenges to continue to produce
  • Water Trading: Shiyang River Basin Case – Successes in the Shiyang River Basin and other pilots have motivated the Chinese government to push a nation-wide water rights & water market system. Tsinghua University’s Professor Jianshi Zhao expands
  • 2018 World Water Week: Key Takeaways – World Water Week 2018 saw exciting issues discussed from financing nature-based solutions to advancing water stewardship & valuing water. Check out more in our key takeaways from China Water Risk’s Woody Chan & Yuanchao Xu
  • Sharing Rivers: China & Kazakhstan – China and Kazakhstan share 24 rivers. Dr. Selina Ho from the National University of Singapore reviews their history of transboundary river co-operation and why this relationship is more advanced than China’s river relations with India & the Mekong states
  • Sharing Rivers: The Lancang-Mekong Case – Using the emergency water release by China to help downstream countries in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin as an example, Tsinghua University’s Prof. Zhao Jianshi explores the benefits of cooperation & the importance of China
  • Why Do Hydro-Hegemons Cooperate? – Cooperation and conflict exist on a spectrum in transboundary river basins. Dr Selina Ho from Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy explores the policies of China & India, Asia’s two hydro-hegemons. How and why they work with other states on the Mekong & the Ganges?
  • Integrating Climate & Water Diplomacy For Rivers – Climate change will likely intensify water-related challenges in river basins. Meanwhile, the Mekong River Commission is experiencing funding cuts. adelphi’s Sabine Blumstein shares 3 reasons for stronger integration of climate policy & water instruments
  • Avoiding Hydro Wars: With up to 124GW of planned hydropower on China’s transboundary rivers, no wonder regional geopolitical tensions over water is running high. Debra Tan gives the low down on China’s hydropower expansion, are there other options to avoid sparking hydro wars?
Dr. Xie Lei
Author: Dr. Xie Lei
Dr Lei Xie is a Visiting Research Fellow at the Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, the Chinese Academy of Sciences. She is also a Research Associate at School of Sociology and Social Policy, Nottingham University UK. Her research focuses on international cooperation of transbondary waters and transnational environmental movements. Lei Xie is author of Environmental Activism in China (Routledge, 2009); and China’s International Transboundary Rivers: Politics, Security and Diplomacy of Shared Water Resources (with Shaofeng, Jia, Routledge 2017). Her articles also appear on International Environmental Agreement, Politics, Law and Economics, New Political Economy, China Information, and Journal of Contemporary China
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Prof. Shaofeng Jia
Author: Prof. Shaofeng Jia
Professor Jia Shaofeng is the Deputy Director of the Center for Water Resources Research of the Chinese Academy of Sciences and the Vice Chair of the Special Committee for Water Resources of China Hydraulic Engineering Society. He also acts as an editorial board member of several academic journals including Water International, Geographic Research, Geographic Progress, and Journal of Economics of Water Resources. His main research interests are water resources management, integrated basin management and regional sustainable development. He has been involved in more than 40 scientific research projects and acted as the leader of several key projects at national level including National Key Scientific and Technological Project and National Natural Science Foundation Project. He has published more than 100 peer-reviewed papers and also authored 5 books.
Read more from Prof. Shaofeng Jia →